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Indian Monsoon News 2024
Indian Monsoon News 2024: A year after enduring a weak and erratic monsoon, India is poised to experience ample rainfall during the upcoming 2024 monsoon season. The Indian Meteorological Department (IMD) suggests that the influence of El Nino will wane, with La Nina conditions expected to prevail during the latter half of the monsoon period.
El Nino’s Impact on India’s Summer Forecast
During a recent press conference, the IMD Director General, Mrutyunjay Mohapatra, emphasized the potential impact of persistent El Nino conditions on India’s weather patterns. El Nino, characterized by the periodic warming of waters in the central Pacific Ocean, significantly affects weather patterns across the Indian subcontinent.
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Mr. Mohapatra highlighted that the upcoming summer season may witness intense heatwaves, particularly in regions such as Telangana, Andhra Pradesh, north interior Karnataka, Maharashtra, and Odisha. This could pose challenges for agriculture, water resources, and public health.
Preparation for a Hot Summer Ahead
As India braces for a potentially scorching summer, preparations are underway to mitigate the impact of heatwaves and water shortages. The IMD forecasts an increase in the number of heatwave days, prompting authorities to implement measures to ensure public safety and provide relief to vulnerable populations.
March is expected to witness above-normal rainfall levels, exceeding 117 per cent of the long-period average. This early indication of precipitation offers some relief amid concerns of water scarcity and agricultural productivity.
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According to IMD’s Mohapatra, above-normal maximum and minimum temperatures are forecasted for most parts of the country between March and May. However, the northern and central regions of India may experience relatively milder conditions during this period.
Understanding La Nina’s Role
La Nina conditions, often associated with favorable monsoon rainfall in India, are projected to establish themselves during the latter part of the monsoon season. La Nina signifies the periodic cooling of ocean surface temperatures in the central and east-central equatorial Pacific Ocean, representing the cool phase of the El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO) cycle.
The climatic patterns of El Nino in the Pacific Ocean exert a global influence on weather patterns, impacting agricultural productivity, water resources, and natural ecosystems. By August, the United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) and the European Union’s Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) suggest a gradual transition towards La Nina conditions.
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Looking Ahead: Prospects for a Bountiful Monsoon
In summary, India stands on the brink of a promising monsoon season, with La Nina potentially offsetting the impact of El Nino. The transition from El Nino to La Nina conditions offers hope for agricultural prosperity, water security, and overall socio-economic development across the nation.
As preparations continue to mitigate the challenges posed by the summer heat and ensure effective management of water resources, stakeholders remain vigilant, monitoring weather patterns and adapting strategies to optimize resilience and sustainability in the face of climate variability.
Indian Monsoon News 2024: The IMD’s projections serve as a valuable guide for policymakers, agriculturalists, and communities, enabling proactive measures to harness the benefits of a bountiful monsoon season while addressing the challenges posed by climate variability and change. Through collaboration and innovation, India seeks to leverage its natural resources and human capital to build a resilient and sustainable future in the midst of evolving climatic dynamics.